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World Bank GNP Economy Category | GNP Per Capita |
Energy Consumption |
Mid-1984 Population |
Total Consumption |
---|---|---|---|---|
(1984 dollars) | (kW per capita*/) | (million) | (TW) | |
Low Income | 260 | 0.41 | 2,390 | 0.99 |
Sub-Saharan Africa | 210 | 0.08 | 258 | 0.02 |
Middle Income | 1,250 | 1.07 | 1,188 | 1.27 |
Lower-middle | 740 | 0.57 | 691 | 0.39 |
Upper-middle | 1,950 | 1.76 | 497 | 0.87 |
Sub-Saharan Africa | 660 | 0.25 | 148 | 0.04 |
High-Income Oil Exporters | 11,250 | 5.17 | 19 | 0.10 |
Industrial Market Economies | 11,430 | 7.01 | 733 | 5.14 |
East European Non-Market Economies | -- | 6.27 | 389 | 2.44 |
World | -- | 2.11 **/ | 4,718 | 9.94 |
*/ kW per capita is kW years/year per capita. | ||||
**/ Population-weighted average energy consumption (kW/capita) for first three main categories is 0.654 and for industrial market and East European categories is 6.76. | ||||
Source: Based on World Bank, World Development Report 1986 (New York: Oxford University Press, 1986). |
9. How practical are any of these scenarios? Energy analysts have conducted many studies of global energy futures to the years 2020-2030.[1] Such studies do not provide forecasts of future energy needs, but they explore how various technical, economic, and environmental factors may interact with supply and demand. Two of these are reviewed in Box 7-2, though a much wider range of scenarios - from 5 TW up to 63 TW – are available.
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- ↑ For a useful comparison of various scenarios, see J. Goldemberg et al., 'An End-Use Oriented Global Energy strategy', Annual Review of Energy, Vol. 10, 1985; and W. Keepin et al., 'Emissions of CO2 into the Atmosphere', in B. Bolin et al. (eds.), The Greenhouse Effect, Climate Change and Ecosystems (Chichester, UK: Jokn Wiley & Sons, 1986).