Figure I. The Revolutionary Guerrilla Situation in Cuba
| Determinants* | Castro | Incumbent (Batista) |
Remarks |
|---|---|---|---|
A.Appeal of program
|
Progressive, plus (8) | Static, minus (3) | Batista government oppressive and reactionary |
B.Popular support
|
Growing, active (7) | Diminishing, passive (3) | |
C.Quality of leadership
|
Excellent, dedicated (8)
|
Mediocre to poor (4) | |
D.Quality of troops
|
Good, improving to excellent (8)
|
Good, decreasing to fair (5) | |
E.Military efficiency
|
Growing (6) | Mediocre to poor (4) | In guerrilla situations |
F.Internal unity
|
Positive, strong (8) | Weak (3) | |
G.Equipment
|
Poor, improving to good as taken (4)
|
Largely U.S., excellent (8)
|
Radios, transport, medical supplies, etc., available from incumbent |
H.Base area terrain
|
Operationally favorable (10) | Unfavorable (3) | |
I.Base area communications
|
Operationally favorable (10) | Unfavorable (3) | |
J.Sanctuary
|
None (0) | Remainder of island (10)
|
Available for rest, retraining, equipment |
| AGGREGATE | 69 | 46 |
* Determinants are arbitrarily weighted on a scale of 0-10.
