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Page:Popular Science Monthly Volume 1.djvu/687

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HAS OUR CLIMATE CHANGED?

locality at which the observation is made. The former represents the quantity of heat over a long line, including many localities. It is, therefore, the better form, and furnishes more trustworthy results.

Turning now to the records of the city of New York, as obtained from the sources above specified, we find they are continuous from 1821 to the present time. It would extend this report unduly were we to enter on an examination of each of these years respectively. Making a selection, then, let us compare the following groups of five years—first, from 1821 to 1827; second, from 1831 to 1837; third, from 1841 to 1847; fourth, from 1866 to 1872. It will be understood that the months selected are January, February, and March.

TABLE, SHOWING THE MEAN TEMPERATURE IN NEW YORK, FOR THE FIRST THREE MONTHS OF THE YEAR, JANUARY, FEBRUARY, AND MARCH.

FIRST PERIOD. SECOND PERIOD. THIRD PERIOD. FOURTH PERIOD.
Years. Temperature. Years. Temperature. Years. Temperature. Years. Temperature.
1822 32.71 1832 33.25 1842 88.81 1867 30.94
1823 80.96 1833 88.95 1843 30.51 1868 29.46
1824 34.78 1834 85.04 1844 31.43 1869 34.77
1825 30.36 1835 80.72 1845 36.36 1870 34.27
1826 32.62 1836 27.18 1846 32.69 1871 34.22
Mean for 5 y's 33.43 32.02 84.02 32.73

The mean for January, February, and March, for thirty-three years, is 32.90 degrees. The mean for the above selection is 33.06 degrees.

The evidence thus derived from thermometric observations corroborates that derived from the freezing of the river, and undeniably leads to the conclusion that, if there has been any change in the winter climate of New York, it cannot be demonstrated by the extant thermometrical records of the last fifty years. This, therefore, adds weight to Humboldt's conclusion that there has been no sensible change in the Atlantic States since the time of their first settlement.

Let us next see what is the evidence afforded by an examination of the Philadelphia records. As in the preceding case, a discussion of all these would be too lengthy. They go as far back as 1748, but present, however, a broken series. Selecting from this, here and there, periods of five years, we may thus group them: first, from 1766 to 1772; second, from 1797 to 1803; third, from 1821 to 1827; fourth, from 1831 to 1837; fifth, from 1851 to 1857.

TABLE, SHOWING THE MEAN TEMPERATURE OF PHILADELPHIA, FOR THE FIRST THREE MONTHS OF THE YEAR, JANUARY, FEBRUARY, AND MARCH.

FIRST PERIOD. SECOND PERIOD. THIRD PERIOD. FOURTH PERIOD. FIFTH PERIOD.
Year. Temperature. Year. Temperature. Year. Temperature. Year. Temperature. Year. Temperature.
1767 35.06 1798 36.20 1822 33.40 1832 37.66 1852 34.10
1768 37.53 1799 35.13 1823 32.53 1833 37.83 1853 87.83
1769 35.66 1800 33.96 1824 35.36 1834 38.50 1854 86.56
1770 35.50 1801 86.70 1825 37.93 1835 83.33 1855 34.00
1771 35.33 1802 89.20 1826 86.33 1836 27.96 1856 27.66
Mean for 6 years. 85.87 36.23 35.11 34.95 34.03