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These figures are roughly 20% higher than those previously assumed in the OR Report 2010 baseline (98,280 for UK and 1,576,218 for the world).
b) Library costs. In the OR Report we used top-down estimates of total library costs to calculate the per article library costs which were used in the model. In light of the assumed increase in articles produced (see (a) above) and the desire to keep total library costs consistent with the OR Report, we made the per article library costs have been reduced in order to leave total library costs unchanged.
c) Subscription costs from 'other' organisations. The model splits costs between academic institutions (RLUK, HEC, etc.) and other organisations (government and independent/corporate libraries). In the OR Report we assumed that these 'other' libraries had access to a specific number of articles/journals. Having increased the number of articles produced in the 2010 baseline, we adjusted the model to ensure that the number of subscriptions for ‘other’ organisations remained constant (i.e. didn't increase).

Given these changes to the modelling assumptions (and the conceptual differences referred to above), the estimates in this note differ from those presented in the OR Report. The 2010 estimates against which the sensitivities are compared are shown in Table 0.1 below.

Table 0.1: UK 2010 publishing and distribution funding

Cost Category 2010
Academic Institutions Author-side payments 11.1
Subscriptions 112.0
Access Provision 52.1
Transition costs n/a
Total 175.2
Others Author-side payments 2.8
Subscriptions and other revenues[1] 67.5
Access Provision 51.4
Transition costs n/a
Total 121.7
Annual Total 296.6