134
- Looking at the annual costs by group, around two thirds of these increased costs are incurred by academic institutions. Author-side payments do not change (as expected) from the Central Case, but subscription costs increase significantly as the rest of the world's level of author-side payment reduces.
Sensitivity 4 - UK corresponding authors
Table 0.7: Results of sensitivity 4 (figures in £m)
| Cost Category | Central Case | Sensitivity 4: UK corresponding authors as % of articles with UK authors | ||||
| 85% | 75% | 65% | 55% | |||
| Academic Institutions | Author-side payments | 22.0 | 18.2 (-3.9) |
16.0 (-6.1) |
13.8 (-8.3) |
11.6 (-10.5) |
| Subscriptions | -18.7 | -18.7 (0) |
-18.7 (0) |
-18.7 (0) |
-18.7 (0) | |
| Access Provision | -3.5 | -3.5 (0) |
-3.5 (0) |
-3.5 (0) |
-3.5 (0) | |
| Transition costs | 0.2 | Constant at £200k for academic institutions | ||||
| Total | 0.0 | -3.8 (-3.8) |
-6.0 (-6.0) |
-8.2 (-8.2) |
-10.5 (-10.6) | |
| Others | Author-side payments | 5.5 | 4.5 (-1) |
4.0 (-1.5) |
3.4 (-2.1) |
2.9 (-2.6) |
| Subscriptions and other revenues | -9.5 | -9.5 (0) |
-9.5 (0) |
-9.5 (0) |
-9.5 (0) | |
| Access Provision | -2.1 | -2.1 (0) |
-2.1 (0) |
-2.1 (0) |
-2.1 (0) | |
| Transition Costs | 0.8 | Constant at £800k for Others | ||||
| Total | -5.2 | -6.2 (-1) |
-6.8 (-1.5) |
-7.3 (-2.1) |
-7.9 (-2.6) | |
| Annual Total | -5.2 | -10.0 (-4.8) |
-12.8 (-7.6) |
-15.6 (-10.3) |
-18.3 (-13.1) | |
| 20-year NPV Net Total | -76.9 | -147.8 (-70.9) |
-188.3 (-111.4) |
-228.8 (-151.9) |
-269.3 (-192.4) | |
Key points to note are as follows:
- In 2010 it is assumed that UK authors contributed to approximately 123,600 articles. Based on the BIS study’s estimate of 65% for corresponding authors the UK would make a large net savings, of £15.6m, in comparison to the 2010 baseline (an increase in savings over the Central case of £10.3m). These savings are split relatively evenly between academic institutions (£8.2m) and others (£7.3m).
- If there were a greater number of corresponding authors, or a greater number of UK authors funding APCs, the savings would fall. For example, if UK authors funded 85%
