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the savings for Others is much greater, £15.7m when the level of Gold uptake is set at 50%.
- Substantial savings are made in access provision as the level of Gold increases. This results from libraries undertaking fewer activities in relation to procurement of journals and administration.
Sensitivity 3 - Level of uptake in rest of world versus UK
Table 0.6: Results of sensitivity 3 (figures in £m)
| Cost Category | Central Case | Sensitivity 3: level of uptake in the rest of world versus UK | ||||
| 80% | 60% | 40% | 20% | |||
| Academic Institutions | Author-side payments | 22.0 | 22.0 (0) |
22.0 (0) |
22.0 (0) |
22.0 (0) |
| Subscriptions | -18.7 | -15.2 (+3.5) |
-11.7 (+7.1) |
-8.1 (+10.6) |
-4.6 (+14.1) | |
| Access Provision | -3.5 | -2.8 (+0.7) |
-2.2 (+1.3) |
-1.5 (+2) |
-0.9 (+2.6) | |
| Transition costs | 0.2 | Constant at £200k for academic institutions | ||||
| Total | 0.0 | 4.2 (+4.2) |
8.4 (+8.4) |
12.6 (+12.6) |
16.8 (+16.8) | |
| Others | Author-side payments | 5.5 | 5.5 (0) |
5.5 (0) |
5.5 (0) |
5.5 (0) |
| Subscriptions and other revenues | -9.5 | -7.7 (+1.8) |
-5.9 (+3.6) |
-4.1 (+5.3) |
-2.3 (+7.1) | |
| Access Provision | -2.1 | -1.7 (+0.4) |
-1.3 (+0.8) |
-0.9 (+1.2) |
-0.5 (+1.6) | |
| Transition Costs | 0.8 | Constant at £800k for Others | ||||
| Total | -5.2 | -3.1 (+2.2) |
-0.9 (+4.4) |
1.3 (+6.5) |
3.5 (+8.7) | |
| Annual Total | -5.2 | 1.1 (+6.4) |
7.5 (+12.7) |
13.9 (+19.1) |
20.2 (+25.5) | |
| 20-year NPV Net Total | -76.9 | 16.7 (+93.6) |
110.4 (+187.2) |
204.0 (+280.9) |
297.6 (+374.5) | |
Key points to note are as follows:
- If, as this sensitivity shows, the rest of the world has a lower uptake of author-side payments compared to the UK (i.e. a lack of global participation) the increase in costs to the UK is potentially very large. For example, if the rest of the world only has 20% of the UK's level of Gold uptake, UK annual costs increase by £25.5m relative to the Central Case.
